外文翻译对企业财务风险的预警和控制

外文翻译对企业财务风险的预警和控制
外文翻译对企业财务风险的预警和控制

译文内容On the corporate financial risk early warning and control(对企业财务风险的预警和控制)

译文出处2010 International Conference on Future Information Technology

and Management Engineering

On the corporate financial risk early warning and control

Liu Jingzhong

Economic and trade department

Shang Qiu Polyltechnic

Shangqiu, Henan Province, China

sqzyljz@https://www.360docs.net/doc/cd15393229.html,;

Abstract - Financial risk that a firm will be unable to meet its financial obligations. This risk is primarily a function of the relative amount of debt that the firm uses to finance its assets. A higher proportion of debt increases the likelihood that at some point the firm will be unable to make the required interest and principal payments. Early warning and controlling financial risks effectively can provide a safe and steady operating environment. This paper believe that through analyzing the financial situation, preparing the cash-flow budget, establishing the financial risk index system and computational model to warn early the financial risk. On the other hand, through establishing effective capital structure, selecting correct fund-raising methods and keep the assets highly liquid to control the financial risk effectively.

Key words: Index Terms -financial risk; early warning index; control effectively

1.INTRODUCTION

What is financial risk?

The financial risk is finance achievement and the risk of financial standing.The financial risk separates the narrow sense and the broad sense.The narrow sense financial risk is fallen into debt the causable by the business enterprise, concretely say to mean business enterprise because of lend funds but increment of lose the possibility of the ability of repaying debt and the variability of the business enterprise profits (shareholder income);The broad sense financial risk means the finance system of business enterprise in objective existence of because of various factor function that is hard or can not anticipate and control, make business enterprise realization of financial income and expectation financial income occurrence deviate from, as a result suffer a losing opportunity or possibility.

In this paper,financial risk refers to that because of the unreasonable structure and inappropriate financing, companies may lose solvency, which will lead to the declining in expected return and even bankruptcy of investors.

How does financial risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities.It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. In today's society, debt management is a necessary business strategy for corporate. Through debt management, corporate can make up the shortage of equity fund, and earn profit by using loan fund. The fund needed in production and management generally come from the issued shares (or other equity funds) and debt. In which, the interest burden of debt (including bank loans, issued corporate bonds, and trade credit) is definite. If debt takes up a high proportion in the total fund of the company or the company's profit rate is lower than the interest rate, then the distributable profit of shareholders is reduced, the dividend is decreased, and the risk of stock investment is increased. For example, when a company's profit rate on fund is 10% and the corresponding interest rate of company's loan or the interest rate of issued bond' face is 8%,the interest income of shareholders will be higher than 10%; if a company's profit rate on fund is lower than 8%, the company would be required to pay loans or bonds interest by

8%,the income of common shareholders will be lower than profit rate on fund. In fact, the financial leverage resulting from company's fund raising is like a double-edged sword, and when the interest rate generated by fund raising is higher than interest rate, it will bring growth effect to shareholders' income; otherwise, it is the financial risk of income reduction.

Corporate usually encounter a wide variety of financial risks in production and management process. Because of the existence of financial risks, corporate are very difficult to achieve the initial financial benefits, and some of financial risks may even threaten the normal operation and production of corporate. At present, in some corporate, financial risks are not received the attention from the management, then how could corporate predict potential finance risks and have an effective control on them after discovering financial risks?

2. EARL Y WARNING INDICATOR SYSTEM OF FINANCIAL RISK

The financial risk identifies is manage to the financial risk contents before the disadvantageous risk just appeared or appeared, identify, with accurate held various financial risk of signal and it creation reason. The financial risk early warning wants before the financial risk physically takes place and catches and keeps watch on various small evidence to change, with benefit prevention and for adopt an appropriate counterplan to fight for time.The group wants to build up a perfect information management system, once discovering financial risk signal, the ability Be accurate to spread into a main personnel in time, in order to prevent circumstances of gradually extension.

To effectively prevent financial risks, corporate should take some measures and establish early warning indicator system for financial risk analysis.

2.1 Analyze the change income levels to timely detect risk signals

Corporate earnings include 3 levels: operating income, regular income and periodic income. Operating income means the remaining net income deducting operating costs, management cost, sale cost, tax and other additional cost from the total income. Regular income is the income based on the income deducting finance charges. While periodic income is the total of regular income and net non-operating income and expenditure. If a

corporate has started to take a loss since the period of operating income, this corporate is nearly bankrupt. If the periodic income is in the black, maybe this income is due to non-core operations or accident, such as the sale of securities and real estate. If the operating income is in the black, while the regular income is in the red, then the crisis signal has appeared,which is because the corporate capital structure is irrational, borrowing scale is large, and the interest burden is heavy. At this time, some early warning measures should be taken to avoid the financial crises [1]81-82.

2.2 Develop the cash flow budget and analyze financial conditions

The development of corporate cash flow budget is one of the most important parts in financial management. Accurate cash flow budget can help financial managers analyze financial conditions and provide risk early warning signal. As the object of corporate finance is cash or cash flow, so in the short term, whether the corporate can survive is not entirely dependent on whether it is in the black, but on whether there is sufficient cash for various expenses. The premise of the precaution is that corporation should have the profit. For common stable business, its receivables, payables and inventory can hold steady, so the net amount of cash flow generated by operating activities should be greater than net profit (otherwise, the dangerous signal occurs)[2]125-126. To accurately develop cash flow budget, corporate should summarize various specific objectives, Indicate future expected income, cash flow, financial condition and invest plan in a quantized way and establish rolling cash flow budget considering ten days, month, quarter, year as the period.

2.3 Establish risk analysis indicator system and timely monitor financial risk

The following indicators are those financial indictors commonly used in the analysis of financial risk by financial managers

1, profitability

In the long run, if a corporate wants to stay away from the financial crisis, good profitability is a must, then its external financing capacity and liquidation of debts capacity will be stronger. Indicators include:

Net present value rate of total assets = (cash flow generated in operating activities+

dividends or cash obtained from interest payments+ cash interest payments+ cash to pay income tax) / average total assets

Net present value rate of sale = cash flow generated by operating activities / net amount of sale income

Profitability of stockholder interest = net profit/ average stockholder interest

2, Solvency

Basically, the risk of corporate is caused by debts and a corporate operated by its own capital will have only operating risk not financial risk. Therefore, weighing the financial risk of trading on the equity to determine the debt ratio should compare the profitability of trading on the equity and the cost rate of debt capital, only if the former is greater than the latter, the principal and interest can be paid back in time to achieve the financial leverage profit; At the same time, debt-paying ability also should be taken into account, that is, the amount of cash or the allocation of strength debt of its financial the liquidity; various whether items is capital among reasonable. Assessment indicators are as follows: indicators reflecting short-term solvency such as current ratio, quick ratio, etc; indicators reflecting long-term solvency such as asset-liability ratio, equity multiplier, long-term liabilities and working capital ratio, asset retained earnings ratio and debt equity ratio, etc.

3. Economic efficiency

Economic efficiency will directly embody the degree of corporate management. Indicators reflecting the asset management include turnover rate of accounting receivable and balance rate between production and demand, among which: balance rate between production and demand=products sales/industrial output value.

4.Corporate developmental potential

Indicators measuring corporate developmental potential include sales growth and capital maintenance and increment ratio. This paper applies improved efficiency coefficient method to conduct comprehensive evaluation and standardizes several values for each evaluation indicator---one is satisfied value, while the other is non-allowed value. Then design and calculate individual efficiency coefficient of each indicators, utilize Delphi method to determine each indicator weight, and use weighted arithmetic mean or weighted geometric mean to obtain the average, that is, comprehensive efficiency coefficient. This method can be used to quantify the financial situation of corporate.

5. Financial flexibility

Financial flexibility means the capacity that corporate has to take effective measures to change the flow and time of cash flow for the purpose of adapting to unanticipated needs and opportunities, which is mainly related to the net cash flow generated by companies operating activities. Indicators reflecting financial flexibility include: working capital used to test the liquidity level of corporate total assets, ratio of total assets, redemption rate for due debt capital, ratio of actual net assets to tangible long-term assets, accounts receivable and inventory turnover rate, etc.

3. THE CONSTRUCTION OF EARLY WARNING MODEL IN FINANCIAL RISK

Financial managers can use computer technology (such as Excel financial analysis software) to integrate the financial risk indicators which need to be analyzed to design a "financial risk analysis model." Establish fundamental region of data (or establish a data table connection) and calculation analysis region, then create formulas and data connectivity relations for each analytical indicators in the cell of calculation analysis area in order to automatically figure out the value of each indicator, finally compare the value of each indicator with industry-standard value or reference value, consequently get the early warning data at any time. For example,the values in the table are automatically generated after the establishment of analytical formulas-"short-term solvency ratio" and "long-term solvency ratio", while the data used in formulas are connected to the accounting statement of each period. Thus, when the data in the accounting statements of each period are updated, the analytical values which need to be calculated in the model are generated automatically to help financial executives analyze the situation of financial risks of each period timely .Other financial risk analysis models are also designed like this and analyzed integrated together.

4.STRENGTHEN THE FINANCIAL BUDGET MANAGEMENT OF ENTERPRISES (TO GROUP COMPANY AS THE EXAMPLE)

1.Build up the organization organization of finance budget management

Then the Legal Representative's management to the group finance budget work of group company is negative total responsibility, establish from relevant the working talent section constitute of finance budget management committee, mainly draw up the target, policy of finance budget, draw up the concrete measure and way of finance budget management, review, equilibrium finance budget project, the organization bottom reaches finance budget and moderates to solve finance budget to draw up with the problem in the performance, performance circumstance organize audit and investigate finance budget, speed up business enterprise completion finance budget target.

2.The norm finance budget draws up procedure and method

According to the whole development strategy of the group company, according to the procedure of "up and down combine, the ratings draw up, pursue the class gather", at decision of foundation up, put forward the business enterprise group finance budget target.Each budget carries out the finance budget that the section reaches under the budget committee according to the business enterprise finance target and policy and combines oneself characteristics and the performance condition of estimate and puts forward detailed this section finance budget project, the finance budget committee should carry on full moderate, put forward the opinion of first step adjustment to the problem of detection, and the feedback give to carry out a section to give correction concerning the budget, again from finance budget committee pursue class the bottom reach each budget performance section performance.

3.Work well to control to control with after the event in the budgetary before the event control, matter

Each budget carries out a section to periodically report the performance circumstance of finance budget, to new circumstance, new problem and appear deviation bigger and important item, specially pay attention to check to seek reason to put forward the measure suggestion of improvement management management.Well make use of solid the information system carry on finance supervision

4.Well make use of solid the information system carry on finance supervision

The establishment, sound and internal finance supervises and controls a mechanism, is the effective measure that guards against and dissolves financial risk.Supervision in the inner part includes accountancy's control and management to control 2 types.The group finance supervises and controls a work establishment on the foundation of each finance budget and

promise the capital structure of subsidiary is good, finance operation whole benefits according to business enterprise group, thus and more better guard against and control financial risk, promote business enterprise group of can keep on sex development.Is general to come to speak, can station a finance director general to the subsidiary, be responsible for the finance behavior that inspects a subsidiary;Canning also pass board of directors and supervisor will carry on supervision to the subsidiary.To the supervision result of subsidiary, mainly pass to investigate related index sign to carry on, like the cash ratio, liquidity ratio, bad property ratio and property loss ratio and clean property rate of return etc..

Finance information for business enterprise group to makes the most of solid to follow direct and control funds to flow to take up by getting rid of invalid funds, raise a funds use efficiency, ensure the realization of group finance target.

5. THE CONTROL ON FINANCIAL RISK

It will play a positive role for corporate development, if they have a good control on financial risk. Reducing financial risk will be beneficial for corporate to create a relatively secure and stable operating environment. After establishing the system of financial risk analysis indicators, corporate should take timely monitoring on the situation of financial risk. Corporate should take measures to control them after finding risk signals. They can control financial risk from the following aspects.

1.Strong sense of risk. Corporate cannot constantly pursue high profits without considering the aftermath, and wantonly raise money to increase the financial burden. The amount of profit is not the sole criterion for the power of a company. Excessive debt can not only let corporate bear a heavy burden of interest, and once the process of reproduction is interrupted and obstructed, cash flow problems occur, and corporate cannot pay back debt on time, they will face the risk of loss in reputation, responsibility for compensation, which will even lead to bankruptcy. Corporate cannot run the risk of life threatening, and must foster a strong sense to control risk.

2. Establish the most favorable capital structure. Corporate consider their risk to tolerance acquire to choose the most on advantageous capital structure. Use the lowest capital cost and minimum risk maximum return investment, seeking the best match between risk and

profit.

3.Choose the right financing way. On the basis of comprehensive consideration on funding cost, financial risk and other various factors, corporate should pick the following order of financing to control financial risk, which can reduce their financial risk to minimum degree. First, financing should start from internal accumulation. This way has small difficulty and little risk, which can preserve more loaning capacity for corporate. Second, if corporate raise money from outside, their first choice should be stock issue, then the last choice goes to bank loans, which can reduce the financial pressure of paying back principal and debt to the lowest limits.

4 Take the appropriate borrowing strategies. Although sometimes borrowing can increase the profit of corporate and improve cash however, however no matter under any circumstances, we should clear the expected return of borrowing in the changing corporate environment. If the expected return cannot be determined, corporate does not have the sufficient reason to borrow. Therefore, corporate must know when to borrow and when not to borrow. Only in this way, the financial risk can be controlled to prevent the financial failure caused by blind borrowing.

5, Maintain the high mobility of assets. A high degree of asset liquidity is an important guarantee for corporate to control financial risk and reduce financial burden. The capital is achieved more easily, liquidity is stronger, and the ability to withstand the financial risk is also stronger.

6. Maintain profitability. If the profit cannot meet the financial needs, corporate must rely on cash balances, sell short-term financial assets, or borrow more debt to make up funding gaps and increase the corporate financial risk.

Therefore, maintaining profitability, increasing capital, and reducing debt can effectively control financial risk.

REFERENCES

[1] Leading Group Office of national professional accounting qualification examination. Intermediate Financial Management [M]. Beijing: China Financial and Economic Publishing, 2008.

[2] Wei Yaping, Yin junhui. Financial Management test tutorial[M]. Beijing: Economic

Science Press, 2005

[3] Finance Department and corporate division. Corporate Finance General [M]. Beijing: China Financial and Economic Publishing House, 2007

[4] Fan ling. Excel and financial management[M]. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2007.

[5] Wang Lihua. On the Management of Financial Risk [J]. Forestry projects, 2004.

[6] P H Werhane,R E Freedman. Study on Control of Financial Risk. USA :Black well Business,1998,17—18

对企业财务风险的预警和控制

刘敬忠

经济与贸易系

商丘工艺学院

商丘,河南省,中国

sqzyljz@https://www.360docs.net/doc/cd15393229.html,

摘要:财务风险是企业不得不面对的财政义务,这种风险主要是该公司金融资产相关的债务量函数。在某些时候公司无法支付所需的本金和利息,将使公司债务比例增加的可能性大大提高。金融风险的早期预警和控制,可以有效的提供一个安全稳定的金融环境。本文认为,通过分析财务状况,编制现金流量预算,建立财务风险指标体系和计算模型,可以早期预报财务风险。另一方面,通过建立有效的资本结构,选择正确的筹资方法,保持资产的高流动性可以有效地控制金融风险。

关键词:指数条款—金融风险;预警指标;有效控制。

一、总论

什么是财务风险?

财务风险是财务成果和财务状况的风险。财务风险有狭义和广义之分。狭义财务风险是由企业负债引起的,具体的说是指企业因为借入资金而增加的丧失偿债能力的可能

和企业利润(股东收益)的可变性;广义财务风险是指企业的财务系统中客观存在的由于各种难以或无法预料和控制的因素作用,使企业实现的财务收益和预期财务收益发生背离,因而蒙受损失的机会或可能。

在本文中,财务风险是指由于结构不合理和不恰当的,公司可能会失去偿付能力的,将导致企业预期收益下降的,投资者甚至破产的融资。

财务风险是如何产生的呢?无数金融性质的交易包括销售和采购,投资和贷款,以及其他各种业务活动,产生了财务风险。它可以出现在合法的交易中,新项目中,兼并和收购中,债务融资中,能源部分的成本中,或通过管理的活动,利益相关者,竞争者,外国政府,或天气出现。在当今社会,负债经营是企业的一个必要的经营策略。通过债务管理,企业可以弥补股票基金的不足,利用贷款基金获利。生产和管理所需的资金一般来自发行股票(或股权基金)和债务。其中,债务的利息负担(包括银行贷款,发行公司债券,贸易信贷)是确定的。如果公司的债务占到很高的比例或者公司的资金总额利润率低于利率,那么将会使股东可分配的利润减少,股利减少,和股票投资的风险增加。例如,当一个公司的资金利润率为10%,相应的公司贷款或发行债券面临的利率为8%,股东的利息收入将高于10%;如果一个企业的资金利润率降低为8%,该公司将被要求支付8%的贷款或债券利息,普通股股东的收益将低于资金利润率。事实上,财务杠杆作用导致公司的融资是一把双刃剑,当通过筹资产生的利息率高于利率,这将给股东带来收入增长效应;否则它将成为收入减少的财务风险。

公司在生产和管理过程中通常会遇到各种各样的财务风险。由于财务风险的存在,企业要实现预期的财务收益非常困难,一些财务风险甚至可能会威胁到公司的正常运行和生产。目前,在一些企业,财务风险没有得到管理上的重视,那么如何预测潜在的财务风险,在发现企业财务风险后,怎样对它们有一个有效地控制?

二、财务风险的早期预警指标体系

财务风险识别是对财务风险管理内容在不利风险刚出现或出现之前,就予以识别,以准确把握各种财务风险信号及其产生原因。财务风险预警是要在财务风险实际发生之前,捕捉和监视各种细微的迹象变动,以利预防和为采取适当对策争取时间。集团要建立完善的信息管理系统,一旦发现财务风险信号,就能准确及时传至主要人员,以防事态的逐步扩大。

为了有效地防范财务风险,企业应采取一些措施和建立预警指标体系进行财务分

析。

2.1分析收入水平时及时发现危险信号

公司收益包括3个层次:营业收入,固定收入和周期性收入。营业收入即从剩余的总净收入中扣除经营成本,管理成本,销售成本,所得税和其他附加费用。固定收入是基于收入扣除财务费用的收入。而周期性收入是固定收入和净非营业收入和支出总额。一个公司从开始承担经营收入损失的时候开始,该公司就几乎临近破产。如果周期性收入是黑色的,这可能是由于非核心业务收入或事故产生的,如证券、房地产销售。如果经营收入是黑色的,而正常收入是红色的,那么危机信号已经出现,这是因为企业资本结构不合理,借款规模大,利息负担沉重。在这个时候,应该采取一些早期的预警措施来避免财务危机。[1]81-82

2.2 建立现金流量预算和财务状况分析体系

企业现金流量预算的编制是财务管理的一个重要组成部分。准确的现金流量预算可以帮助财务经理分析财务状况和提供风险预警信号。作为公司理财对象的现金或现金流,在短期内,企业是否能够生存并不完全取决于他是否是黑色的,而是取决于是否有足够的用于支付各种费用的现金。该措施实施的前提是,公司能够获得利润。对于普通的稳定的业务,应收账款,应付账款以及存货可以保持稳定,因此经营活动产生的现金流量净额应大于近利润(否则,将会产生危险信号)。[2]125-126为了准确地制定现金流量预算,企业应该总结各项具体的目标,指明未来的预期收入,现金流量,以量化的方式考虑财务状况及投资计划,在每十天,每一个月,每一个季度,每一年各个期间内,建立滚动的现金流量预算。

2.3建立风险分析指标体系,即时监控财务风险。

下列指标是财务经理常用的用于分析财务风险的指标

1.盈利能力指标

从长远来看,如果一个公司想远离财务危机,必须具备良好的盈利能力,这样它的外部融资能力和债务清算能力会更强。指标包括:

总资产净现值率=(经营活动产生的现金流量+从利息中获得的股利或现金+现金支

付的利息+现金交纳的所得税/ 平均资产总额

净现值率=经营活动产生的现金流量/销售收入净额

股东利益的盈利能力=净利润/ 平均股东权益

2.偿付能力

基本上,企业的风险是由债务引起的,企业所经营的自有资金只会操作风险,而不是财务风险。因此,衡量股权交易的金融风险去确定资产负债率,需要比较股票交易的盈利能力和债务资本成本率,如果前者大于后者本金和利息的可收回的时间实现了财务杠杆利益;同时,偿债能力也应该考虑到,即,现金的数额或其金融流动性强的债务的分配额;无论各种金融产品是否在合理的资本范围内。评价指标如下:反映短期偿债能力的指标,如:流动比率,速动比率等指标;反映长期偿债能力的指标,如资产负债率,权益乘数,长期负债与营运资金比率,资产收益率和资产负债率,等。

3.经济效益

经济效益的高低将直接体现在企业的管理程度上。反映资产管理的指标包括应收账款周转率和生产与需求之间的平衡率,其中:生产与需求之间的平衡率=产品销售额/工业产值

4.企业的发展潜力

衡量企业发展潜力的指标包括销售增长率和资本保值增值率。本文采用改进的功效系数法进行综合评价和规范各评价指标——一个是满意的价值,而另一个是不允许值。然后设计并计算各指标的效率系数,利用德尔菲法确定各指标的权数,并用加权算术平均或加权几何平均得到的平均值,即,综合效率系数。该方法可以用来量化企业的财务状况。

5.财务灵活性

财务灵活性意味着企业必须采取有效的措施来改变现金流和现金周转的时间,提高适应未预料到的需求和机会的能力,这主要涉及由公司经营活动产生的净现金流量这个因素。反映财务灵活性指标包括:用来检验企业总资产流动性水平的营运资金,总资产的比率,到期债务资本赎回率,实际净资产与长期有形资产的比率,应收账款周转率和存货周转率,等。

3.财务风险预警模型的构建

财务管理者能够利用计算机技术(如Excel财务分析软件)正和财务风险指标,需

要分析设计一个“财务风险分析模型”。建立数据基本区域(或建立一个数据表的链接)和计算分析区域,然后在估算分析区域中每个单元中的每一个分析指标之间创建公式和数据连接关系,以自动计算出各指标的值,最后将各个指标值与行业标准值或参考值进行比较,继而在任何时间获得预警数据。例如,表中值是建立解析公式后自动生成的“短期偿债能力比率”和“长期偿债能力比率”,而在公式中使用的数据连接到各期的会计报表。因此,当每期的会计报表的数据被更新时,模型中需要被计算的分析值自动生成,来帮助金融高管及时地分析各期的财务风险状况。其他的金融风险分析模型也像这样设计,最后分析整合在一起。

四、加强企业财务预算管理(以集团公司为例)

1.建立财务预算管理的组织机构。

即集团公司的法定代表人对集团财务预算的管理工作负总责,成立由有关职能部门组成的财务预算管理委员会,主要拟订财务预算的目标、政策,制定财务预算管理的具体措施和办法,审议、平衡财务预算方案,组织下达财务预算,协调解决财务预算编制和执行中的问题,组织审计、考核财务预算的执行情况,督促企业完成财务预算目标。

2.规范财务预算的编制程序和方法。

据集团公司的整体发展战略,按照“上下结合、分级编制、逐级汇总”的程序,在决策的基础上,提出企业集团财务预算目标。各预算执行部门按照企业财务预算委员会下达的财务预算目标和政策,结合自身特点以及预测的执行条件,提出详细的本部门财务预算方案,财务预算委员会应当进行充分协调,对发现的问题提出初步调整的意见,并反馈给有关预算执行部门予以修正,再由财务预算委员会逐级下达各预算执行部门执行。

3.做好预算的事前控制、事中控制和事后控制。

各预算执行部门定期报告财务预算的执行情况,对新情况、新问题及出现偏差较大的重大项目,要特别注重查找原因,以提出改进经营管理的措施建议。

4.充分利用实时信息系统进行财务监控

内部财务监控机制,是防范和化解财务风险的有效措施。内部监控包括会计控制和管理控制两类。集团财务监控工作建立在各项财务预算的基础上,保证子公司的资本结构良好,财务运作符合企业集团的整体利益,从而更好地防范和控制财务风险,促进企业集团的可持续性发展。一般来讲,可以向子公司派驻财务总监,负责监督子公司的财

务行为;也可以通过董事会和监事会对子公司进行监控。对子公司的监控结果,主要通过考核相关的指标进行,如现金比率、流动比率、不良资产比率、资产损失比率和净资产收益率等。

企业集团充分运用实时财务信息来跟踪监督和控制资金流,以消除无效的资金占用,提高资金使用效率,确保集团财务目标的实现。

5.对财务风险的控制

如果企业对财务风险有一个很好地控制,这将在企业的发展过程中起到积极作用。降低财务风险将有利于为企业创造一个相对安全、稳定的运行环境。建立财务风险指标体系之后,企业应及时采取措施检测企业情况和财务风险。企业应采取措施来控制他们发现的财务危险信号。他们可以从以下几个方面来控制财务风险。

1.高风险意识。不能一味追求高利润而不考虑后果,肆意筹集资金来增加财务负担。利润金额不是衡量一个公司能力的唯一标准。过度的债务不仅能让企业背负沉重的利息负担,一旦企业的再生产过程中断或受阻,现金流发生困难,公司不能准时偿还债务时,企业将面临声誉受损的风险,需要承担赔偿责任,最终将会导致破产。公司不能承担危及企业生存的风险,必须树立强的风险控制意识。

2.建立最有利的资本结构。公司应当考虑其风险容忍的限度,然后按照需求选择最有力的资本结构。用最低的成本和最小的风险获得最大的投资回报,寻求风险与收益之间的最佳匹配方案。

3.选择合适的融资方式。在综合考虑资金成本、财务风险和其他各种影响因素的基础上,企业应选择下面的融资顺序来控制财务风险,从而将财务风险减小到最小程度。首先,融资应该从内部积累开始。这种方式难度小、风险小,可以为企业保留更多的贷款能力。第二,如果公司从外部筹集资金,他们的第一选择应该是发行股票,而最后的选择应是向银行贷款,从而降低偿还本金和偿还最低限度的债务的财政压力。

4.采取适当的借款策略。虽然有时借款可以增加企业利润,提高现金总额,但是,不管在任何情况下,在企业环境不断变化中我们应该明确企业借款收益的回报额。如果预期收益回报而无法确定,企业就没有足够的理由借款。因此,企业必须知道什么时候借款,什么时候不借款。只有这样,财务风险才可以被控制,以防止盲目借贷导致的财务损失。

5.保持资产的高流动性。资产流动性高,是企业控制财务风险,减少财务负担的重

要保证。也能够让资本回收的期望更容易实现,资本流动性更强,企业抵御财务风险的能力也会更强。

6.保持盈利能力。如果利润不能满足财务需求,企业必须依靠现金余额,出售短期金融资产,或者借更多的债务来弥补资金缺口,增加企业的财务风险。

因此,保持盈利,增加资本,和减少债务能够有效地控制财务风险。

参考文献

[1] 国家专业会计资格考试领导小组办公室.中级财务管理[M]. 北京:中国财政经济

出版社,2008.

[2] 魏亚萍,尹均慧. 财务管理实验教程[M]. 北京:科学经济出版社,2005.

[3] 财务部门和企业部门。企业的基本财务[M]. 北京:中国财政经济出版社,2007.

[4] 范玲.Excel和财务管理[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2007.

[5] 王丽华,金融风险管理[J].林业工程,2004.

[6] P H Werhane,R E Freedman.对财务风险控制研究。美国:管理百科全书——商业理学,1998, 17—18.

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企业的财务风险及防范措施

企业的财务风险及防范措施

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浅谈企业的财务风险及防范措施 企业的财务风险是指在各项财务活动过程中,由于各种难以预料或控制的因素影响,从而使企业有蒙受损失的可能性。在市场经济条件下,财务风险是客观存在的,要完全消除风险及其影响是不现实的。企业财务风险管理的目标在于:了解风险的来源和特征,正确预测、衡量财务风险,进行适当的控制和防范,健全风险管理机制,完善财务政策,将损失降至最低程度,为企业创造最大的收益。 一、财务风险涵义与特征的理性认识 对于财务风险的定义,学术界尚未有一个确切的说法。但一般认为,财务风险即指在各项财务活动中,由于各种难以预料和控制因素的作用,使企业实际收益与目标收益发生背离,因而蒙受损失的可能性。财务风险涵义有狭义和广义之分。狭义的财务风险指在筹资决策时,由于负债性资本占全部资本比例过高,使得企业不能按期还本付息所造成的风险,也称为负债风险或筹资风险;广义的财务风险是泛指企业全部财务活动过程中所存在的风险,它不仅包括在筹资活动、投资活动、利润分配及日常资金营运过程中产生的风险,还包括企业其他各项关联活动的失败而诱发的财务损失和危机。本文讨论的财务风险是广义的财务风险范畴。 根据产生路径的不同,财务风险可划分为5种类型: (1)筹资风险,是指企业在筹集资金过程中由于资金来源结构、债务期限结构不合理及筹资成本过高等原因而给企业财务成本带来的不确定性。筹资风险亦即狭义的财务风险。 (2)投资风险,是指企业在投资活动过程中由于各种因素的变化而致使投资报酬达不到预期目标而产生的风险。 (3)现金流量风险,产生于企业正常运营过程中,由于权责发生制与收付实现制的偏离,导致企业货币资金回收的金额和回收时间的不确定性,此时,企业因债务规模过大或债务期限结构不合理,很可能会造成偿债能力急剧下降,现金支出压力陡升,进而陷入财务困境。 (4)连带财务风险,是指企业其他各项关联活动的失败而诱发的风险。如企业为其它单位提供贷款担保而可能产生的财务风险。(5)外汇风险,即由于汇率变

机械设计外文翻译(中英文)

机械设计理论 机械设计是一门通过设计新产品或者改进老产品来满足人类需求的应用技术科学。它涉及工程技术的各个领域,主要研究产品的尺寸、形状和详细结构的基本构思,还要研究产品在制造、销售和使用等方面的问题。 进行各种机械设计工作的人员通常被称为设计人员或者机械设计工程师。机械设计是一项创造性的工作。设计工程师不仅在工作上要有创造性,还必须在机械制图、运动学、工程材料、材料力学和机械制造工艺学等方面具有深厚的基础知识。如前所诉,机械设计的目的是生产能够满足人类需求的产品。发明、发现和科技知识本身并不一定能给人类带来好处,只有当它们被应用在产品上才能产生效益。因而,应该认识到在一个特定的产品进行设计之前,必须先确定人们是否需要这种产品。 应当把机械设计看成是机械设计人员运用创造性的才能进行产品设计、系统分析和制定产品的制造工艺学的一个良机。掌握工程基础知识要比熟记一些数据和公式更为重要。仅仅使用数据和公式是不足以在一个好的设计中做出所需的全部决定的。另一方面,应该认真精确的进行所有运算。例如,即使将一个小数点的位置放错,也会使正确的设计变成错误的。 一个好的设计人员应该勇于提出新的想法,而且愿意承担一定的风险,当新的方法不适用时,就使用原来的方法。因此,设计人员必须要有耐心,因为所花费的时间和努力并不能保证带来成功。一个全新的设计,要求屏弃许多陈旧的,为人们所熟知的方法。由于许多人墨守成规,这样做并不是一件容易的事。一位机械设计师应该不断地探索改进现有的产品的方法,在此过程中应该认真选择原有的、经过验证的设计原理,将其与未经过验证的新观念结合起来。 新设计本身会有许多缺陷和未能预料的问题发生,只有当这些缺陷和问题被解决之后,才能体现出新产品的优越性。因此,一个性能优越的产品诞生的同时,也伴随着较高的风险。应该强调的是,如果设计本身不要求采用全新的方法,就没有必要仅仅为了变革的目的而采用新方法。 在设计的初始阶段,应该允许设计人员充分发挥创造性,不受各种约束。即使产生了许多不切实际的想法,也会在设计的早期,即绘制图纸之前被改正掉。只有这样,才不致于堵塞创新的思路。通常,要提出几套设计方案,然后加以比较。很有可能在最后选定的方案中,采用了某些未被接受的方案中的一些想法。

财务风险中英文对照外文翻译文献

中英文资料外文翻译 财务风险重要性分析 译文: 摘要:本文探讨了美国大型非金融企业从1964年至2008年股票价格风险的决定小性因素。我们通过相关结构以及简化模型,研究诸如债务总额,债务期限,现金持有量,及股利政策等公司财务特征,我们发现,股票价格风险主要通过经营和资产特点,如企业年龄,规模,有形资产,经营性现金流及其波动的水平来体现。与此相反,隐含的财务风险普遍偏低,且比产权比率稳定。在过去30年,我们对财务风险采取的措施有所减少,反而对股票波动(如独特性风险)采取的措施逐渐增加。因此,股票价格风险的记载趋势比公司的资产风险趋势更具代表性。综合二者,结果表明,典型的美国公司谨慎管理的财政政策大大降低了财务风险。因此,现在看来微不足道的剩余财务风险相对底层的非金融公司为一典型的经济风险。 关键词:资本结构;财务风险;风险管理;企业融资 1 绪论 2008年的金融危机对金融杠杆的作用产生重大影响。毫无疑问,向金融机构的巨额举债和内部融资均有风险。事实上,有证据表明,全球主要银行精心策划的杠杆(如通过抵押贷款和担保债务)和所谓的“影子银行系统”可能是最近的经济和金融混乱的根本原因。财务杠杆在非金融企业的作用不太明显。迄今为止,尽管资本市场已困在危机中,美国非金融部门的问题相比金融业的困境来说显得微不足道。例如,非金融企业破产机遇仅限于自20世纪30年代大萧条以来的最大经济衰退。事实上,非金融公司申请破产的事件大都发生在美国各行业(如汽车制造业,报纸,房地产)所面临的基本经济压力即金融危机之前。这令人惊讶的事实引出了一个问题“非金融公司的财务风险是如何重要?”。这个问题的核心是关于公司的总风险以及公司风险组成部分的各决定因素的不确定性。 最近在资产定价和企业融资再度引发的两个学术研究中分析了股票价格风险利

外文翻译财务分析

Developing student competencies_ An integrated approach to a financial statement analysis project This paper presents an instructional resource for an integrated fi-nancial statement analysis project. The project requires a quantitative analysis of a company's financial statements and a written re-search report. The project is designed to develop students' critical thinking and analytical capabilities through the application of course concepts to a real company, while also providing opportunities to develop professional competencies. Following Anson's Instruc-tional Design Model (2007), the integrated project includes supporting activities, which are designed to aid students in achiev-ing the project's learning goals. The supporting activities include in-class instruction on financial ratios, a computer lab session on Excel, draft papers, peer reviews of writing, and paper revisions. The in-tegrated project also serves as an example of an assignment that is consistent with two recent education frameworks, the Inte-grated Competency-Based Framework (Lawson et al., 2014) and the AICPA Core Competency Framework (2015), which both advocate for increased integration of professional competencies within the ac-counting curriculum. Our instructional resource provides project instructions, supporting activities, as well as implementation guid-ance and a grading rubric. The paper discusses adaptations to tailor the project to various courses and audiences. The resources in this article are useful for instructors implementing a financial state-ment analysis project into accounting, finance, financial statement analysis and investment courses targeted at either the undergrad-uate or graduate levels.

[加强企业财务风险管理的具体措施]财务风险防控措施

[加强企业财务风险管理的具体措施]财务风险防控措施如何防范企业财务风险,化解财务风险,以实现财务管理目标,是企业财务管理的工作重点。下面跟着一起来探讨加强企业财务风险管理的具体措施。 (一)提高企业对财务管理环境的适应能力和应变能力 建立并不断完善财务管理系统,以适应不断变化的财务管理环境,即应制定财务管理战略。面对不断变化的财务管理环境,企业应设置高效的财务管理机构,配备高素质的财务管理人员,健全财务管理规章制度,强化财务管理的各项基础工作,使企业财务管理系统有效运行,提高财务管理系统对环境变化的适应能力。 (二)提高财务人员的风险意识 企业应通过会计政策和会计策略来解决财务风险问题。财务风险存在于财务管理工作的各个环节,任何环节的工作失误都会给企业带来财务风险。因此财务管理人员必须将风险防范意识贯穿于财务管理工作的始终。基于目前财务人员风险意识淡薄的现实情况,企业高层管理人员应定期对财务人员进行风险意识培训,积极向风险管理较好的企业学习,努力提高财务人员的风险意识,并能够贯彻于整个企业财务活动的始终。

(三)提高财务决策的科学化水平 财务决策的正确与否直接关系到财务管理工作的成败,经验决策和主观决策会使决策失误的可能性大大增加。为防范财务风险,企业在决策过程中应充分考虑影响决策的各种因素,尽量采用定量分析方法,并运用科学的决策模型进行决策。对各种可行方案决策,切忌主观臆断。如在对固定资产投资的决策中,应采用科学的方法,计算各种投资方案的投资回收期、投资报酬率、净现值及内含报酬率等指标,并对计算结果进行综合评价,在考虑其他因素的基础上选择最佳的投资方案。这样可以使产生失误的可能性大大降低,从而可以避免因决策失误所带来的财务风险。 (四)科学控制财务风险 1.坚持谨慎性原则。建立财务风险基金即在损失发生前以预提方式或其他形式建立一项专门用于防范风险损失的基金。企业可以按一定标准提取坏账准备金,这是弥补风险损失的一种有效方法。在损失发生后,从已经建立了风险基金的项目中列支,或分批进入经营成本,尽量减少财务风险对企业正常活动的干扰。

机械专业外文翻译(中英文翻译)

外文翻译 英文原文 Belt Conveying Systems Development of driving system Among the methods of material conveying employed,belt conveyors play a very important part in the reliable carrying of material over long distances at competitive cost.Conveyor systems have become larger and more complex and drive systems have also been going through a process of evolution and will continue to do so.Nowadays,bigger belts require more power and have brought the need for larger individual drives as well as multiple drives such as 3 drives of 750 kW for one belt(this is the case for the conveyor drives in Chengzhuang Mine).The ability to control drive acceleration torque is critical to belt conveyors’performance.An efficient drive system should be able to provide smooth,soft starts while maintaining belt tensions within the specified safe limits.For load sharing on multiple drives.torque and speed control are also important considerations in the drive system’s design. Due to the advances in conveyor drive control technology,at present many more reliable.Cost-effective and performance-driven conveyor drive systems covering a wide range of power are available for customers’ choices[1]. 1 Analysis on conveyor drive technologies 1.1 Direct drives Full-voltage starters.With a full-voltage starter design,the conveyor head shaft is direct-coupled to the motor through the gear drive.Direct full-voltage starters are adequate for relatively low-power, simple-profile conveyors.With direct fu11-voltage starters.no control is provided for various conveyor loads and.depending on the ratio between fu11-and no-1oad power requirements,empty starting times can be three or four times faster than full load.The maintenance-free starting system is simple,low-cost and very reliable.However, they cannot control starting torque and maximum stall torque;therefore.they are

财务风险管理外文翻译

本科毕业论文(设计) 外文翻译 Financial Risk Management Although financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management. What Is Risk? Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure. Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits. Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns. Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it.

浅析企业财务风险及防范措施 正文

浅析企业的财务风险及防范措施 企业的财务风险是指在各项财务活动过程中,由于各种难以预料或控制的因素影响,从而使企业有蒙受损失的可能性。在市场经济条件下,财务风险是客观存在的,要完全消除风险及其影响是不现实的。企业财务风险管理的目标在于:了解风险的来源和特征,正确预测、衡量财务风险,进行适当的控制和防范,健全风险管理机制,完善财务政策,将损失降至最低程度,为企业创造最大的收益。 一、财务风险的含义 风险是指当一项活动可能产生几种不同的结果,而这些结果的可能性或概率又可以推算时,则认为这些活动是有风险的。一般来讲,企业面临两种风险:一是经营风险;二是财务风险。企业的财务风险往往是由经营风险引起的,是企业在财务活动中由于各种不确定因素的影响,财务收益与预期收益发生偏离,因而造成经营过程中的某一方面和某个环节的问题。都可能促使这种风险转变成损失,导致企业盈利能力和偿债能力的降低。 二、企业财务风险成因分析 只有了解了企业的财务风险的成因,才能采取相应的预防对策,加强财务风险的防范。不同企业财务风险形成的具体原因也不尽相同。总的来说,有以下几个方面的原因: (一)企业财务管理系统不能适应复杂多变的宏观环境 企业财务管理的宏观环境复杂多变是企业产生财务风险的外在成因。众所周知,持续的通货膨胀,将使企业资金供给持续发生短

缺,货币性资金持续贬值,实物性资金相对升值,资金成本持续升高。例如,世界原油价格上涨导致成品油价格上涨,使企业增加了运营成本,减少了利润,无法实现预期的收益。而利率的变动必然会产生利率风险,包括支付利息过多的风险、产生利息的投资发生亏损的风险和不能履行偿债义务的风险。市场风险因素也会对财务风险有很大的影响。这些因素存在于企业之外,但对企业财务管理产生重大影响。宏观环境的变化对企业来说,是难以准确预测和无法改变的。宏观环境的不利变化必然给企业带来财务风险。财务管理的环境具有复杂性和多变性,外部环境变化可能为企业带来某种机会,也可能使企业面临风险。财务管理系统如果不能适应复杂多变的外部环境,必然使企业理财陷入困境。 (二)财务管理决策缺乏科学性导致决策失误而产生财务风险 财务决策失误是产生财务风险的最直接的原因。目前我国企业的财务决策普遍存在着经验决策和主观决策现象,从而导致决策失误经常发生,导致产生财务风险。具体表现在: 1.固定资产投资决策缺乏科学性导致投资失误。在固定资产投资决策过程中,由于企业对投资项目的可行性缺乏周密系统的分析和研究,加之决策所依据的经济信息不全面、不真实以及决策者决策能力低下等原因,导致投资决策失误频繁发生。决策失误使投资项目不能获得预期的收益,投资无法按期收回,为企业带来巨大的财务风险。 2.对外投资决策失误,导致大量投资损失。企业对外投资包括有价证券投资,联营投资等。由于投资者对投资风险的认识不足,缺乏科学的论证,导致企业盲目投资和投资决策的失误使企业产生巨大的投资损失,由此产生很大的财务风险。 3.筹资规模和结构决策不当导致财务风险的产生。在我国有的企业盲目的扩大生产规模,本身资金又不够,只好向外筹集大量的负债资金,造成资金结

外文翻译英文

A Distributed Approach for Track Occupancy Detection Abstract This paper investigates the problem of track occupancy detection in distributed settings. Track occupancy detection determines which tracks are occupied in a railway system. For each track, the Neyman–Pearson structure is applied to reach the local decision. Globally, it is a multiple hypotheses testing problem. The Bayesian approach is employed to minimize the probability of the global decision error. Based on the prior probabilities of multiple hypotheses and the approximation of the prior probabilities of multiple hypotheses and the approximationofthereceiving operation characteristic curve of the local detector, a person-by-person optimization method is implemented to obtain the fusion rule and the local strategies off line. The results are illustrated through an example constructed from in situ devices. Key Words:Track occupancy detection,Neyman–Pearson, Generalized likelihood ratio test, Bayesian approach,Distributed detection 1Introduction With respect to the majority of railway systems in China, a quasi-moving block method is employed to specify the safe zone of a train. A key piece of knowledge to be determined is the set of track segments that are occupied, i.e., track occupancy detection. Then the speed restriction curves for the following trains are calculated accordingly. When there are misdetections, collisions may happen; additionally, false alarms may lead to declines of line capacity. Track occupancy detection is achieved by a set of track circuits. The track circuit is a crucial device mainly composed of a transmitter–receiver pair and a track segment. The measurement is the receiving signal at the end of the track. For each segment, a decision is made locally and individually, which leads to frequent ambiguities on which tracks are occupied for the whole line. It means that the false alarm rate of the line increases greatly. Besides, for the next generation of railway systems, a moving block method is adopted. Such a method requires the exact position and velocity of the train. However, those data are not provided in the current detection mechanism.

财务风险管理外文文献翻译译文

Financial Risk Management Although financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management. What Is Risk? Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure. Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits. Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns. Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk,

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